Thursday, September 20, 2012

Moderately pessimistic scenario, which has traditionally been the basis for the formation of the co

The Russian government will discuss the macro-economic forecast for Russia 2013-2015 years | Economy | News "RIA Novosti"
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Moscow, September 20 - RIA Novosti. The Russian government will consider at a meeting on Thursday, September 20, the estimation of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for 2013 and planning for 2014 and 2015, according to the press service of the Cabinet of Ministers.
"Development the kyoto protocol of the prediction in a changing internal and external conditions, the dynamics the kyoto protocol of the external economic situation and trends in the global economy as well as the socio-economic development in January-July 2012" - said in a statement the government.
Ministry of Economic Development has prepared five versions of the Russian economy before 2015, predicted range of the most pessimistic oil price around $ 80 per barrel, and economic growth at 0.5-3% to the most optimistic the kyoto protocol - the price of oil to $ 120 and increased to 3.9 -4.6%. the kyoto protocol
Moderately pessimistic scenario, which has traditionally been the basis for the formation of the concept federal budget assumes the relative the kyoto protocol competitiveness of the Russian economy and the improvement of the investment climate with a moderate increase in government spending on infrastructure development and rapid wage increases in the public sector the kyoto protocol in 2014-2015. GDP growth in 2013-2015 is projected at 3.7 to 4.5%.
The conservative option would keep the low competitiveness against imports and controlled recovery in investment activity in real government spending to reduce the development. Scenario assumes a state of stagnation in investment the kyoto protocol demand and the real sector wages and allowances of military personnel. Annual economic growth in the next three years is estimated at 2.7 to 3.3%, 1.2 percentage points lower on average than in the scenario.
Another option, called the kyoto protocol the scenario of accelerated growth, built to meet the target parameter of productivity growth in 2018 was 1.5 times the level of 2011. This implies
a qualitative breakthrough in the improvement of the economic climate and the intense influx the kyoto protocol of foreign capital, the kyoto protocol as well as increased use of national savings, combined the kyoto protocol with increased government spending the kyoto protocol on infrastructure and the new economy. Average annual growth in the years 2013-2018 increased to 6.1% GDP growth in the years 2016-2018, nearly 7% per year.
The negative scenario is characterized by the deterioration of the dynamics of the world economy (to the point of stagnation in developed countries), although it is not renewed recession. Under these circumstances, it is expected that the price of oil in 2013 reduced to $ 80 per barrel in 2014-2015 is expected to be a slight increase in oil prices by 1-2% per year. Slower growth in the Russian the kyoto protocol economy in 2013 to 0.5% with a significant devaluation of the ruble and a resumption
of growth in 2014-2015 the kyoto protocol to 2-3%.
And finally, the most optimistic version reflects maintenance of relatively high rates of economic growth and oil prices in 2013-2014 at between 110 and 115 dollars per barrel, respectively, with an acceleration of growth to $ 120 per barrel in 2015. GDP growth rates in 2013-2015 higher baseline 0-0.2 percentage points, can be estimated at 3.9 to 4.6% per year.
00:17 20/09/2012 The Russian government will consider at a meeting on Thursday, September 20, the estimation of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for 2013 and planning for 2014 and 2015, according
to the press service of the Cabinet the kyoto protocol of Ministers.
00:17 20/09/2012 The Russian government
will consider at a meeting on Thursday, September 20, the estimation the kyoto protocol of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for 2013 and planning the kyoto protocol for 2014 and 2015, according to the press service of the Cabinet of Ministers. >>
00:17 20/09/2012 The Russian government will consider at a meeting on Thursday, September 20, the estimation of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for 2013 and planning for 2014 and 2015, according to the press service of the Cabinet of Ministers. >>
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